IUCN / SSC Cat Specialist Group - Digital Cat Library |
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| Zimmermann, A.; Wilson, S. | |
| Modelling Hotspots of Human-Jaguar Conflicts in Latin America | |
| 2007 Conference Proceeding | |
The jaguar (_Panthera onca_) occurs in a variety of habitats throughout Central and South America, including forests, swamps, grasslands and areas adapted for cattle ranching. Predation on livestock occurs frequently and conflicts with farmers are widespread. With a shortage of undisturbed habitat for jaguars, reliance on range outside protected areas is inevitable. Jaguar-human conflicts occur in all 18 range states, but their characteristics vary greatly and are determined by ecological, economic and sociological settings. This paper presents the results of a large-scale survey of jaguar-human conflicts across the range. A meta-analysis using GIS datasets of variables that influence the frequency of conflict, such as habitat type, land-use, human geography, protected area coverage and jaguar distribution is combined with results from a quantitative survey of jaguar conflicts across the range. Spatial analysis of these conflict hotspot maps allows us to present a predictive model, providing an understanding the spatial dynamics influencing the emergence of conflicts, as well as to simulate the probability of an area becoming a conflict hotspot in the future. Such a model is a useful tool for land-use and strategic planning in the conservation of large cats, especially for populations outside protected areas. |
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