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Blecha, K.A.; Alldredge, M.W.
Improvements on GPS location cluster analysis techniques for predicting feeding activities
2014  Conference Proceeding

GPS location cluster analysis has become a staple technique in large predator feeding studies. We demonstrate three improvements to the method based on study design and technological advancements in a four year study of 4600 cluster ground-truthing visits to GPS location clusters from 53 cougar subjects: 1) Ground-truthing potential feeding sites have generally relied on either exhaustively visiting all clusters of an individual subject or by opportunistic non-random sampling. The former may be cost prohibitive and limit the sample size of animal subjects, while the latter may lead to biased estimates of kill-rate/prey composition. We demonstrate a stratified random sampling scheme for monthly visitation periods, along with a sample of "single point clusters" consisting of a single GPS location. 2) Feeding event prediction models using classic cluster analyses are likely biased toward larger prey items. We demonstrate a simple integration of accelerometer sensor data as an additional covariate to help improve prediction models. 3) It is suspected that the probability a technician successfully classifies a cluster while ground-truthing declines as the visitation lag (time delay between technician visitation and cougar feeding date) increases. Direct satellite communication capabilities now allow real-time downloading of GPS data, and thus near real-time ground truthing. We tested this on a sample of clusters (n= 202) with visitation by one technician 1-3 days post initiation by the cougar, and then by a second independent blind observer 1-60 days later. The double observers concurred in the presence/absence of feeding remains in 98.6% of the cases, while concurring on species identification in 93.6%. While classification success of prey species, sex, and age will likely decrease as prey remains degrade, researchers should be confident that the presence/absence classification component is robust for the logistically feasible visitation lags that were tested.

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